as a country with a nascent democracy, this year is an exciting year for Indonesia because we are only in the general election for the fourth time after reform in 1998. eligible voters will go to the voting booth on April 9 to elect members of the House of representatives (DPR) and regional House of representatives (DPRD) and the regional representative Council (DPD) and elected members have a seat in the house for the next five years.
It is often confused, but the Indonesians will not elect a new president in the general election because the presidential election will be held separately after the legislation is signed with the date to be determined. The results of the legislative election will great importance in the presidential election because a presidential threshold rule is applied. According to the electoral law of 2008, only political parties or coalitions earn 25 percent of the popular vote or control 20 percent of the seats in the DPR will be eligible to nominate a presidential candidate.
ads However, while we await the results of the upcoming parliamentary elections, some presidential candidates have made about their appointments. Technically speaking, a person is an official candidate yet, but here are the names that are believed to have a chance to be the next president of Indonesia.
Joko Widodo
Joko Widodo
Jokowi is a political phenomenon not too dissimilar with "Obamania" to United States. Since he came to prominence as mayor of Solo, he captured people's attention with his humble down-to-earth personality. His triumph in the election of Governor DKI in 2012 was widely predicted, despite running against the incumbent and be paired with Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (Ahok) from a background of the minority.
Supported by the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), which is expected by analysts to complete the first time in the legislative election, the populist Jokowi has the country rave about his candidacy from that it was announced on March 14
Yunarto Wijaya, a political analyst from Charta Politica, think the main key behind the popularity of Jokowi generates political confidence of the people. "It uses a bottom-up approach. It first listens to what people need before acting. The political trust is gone all these years of our leaders. This confidence is based on populist, the low-context communication style . Jokowi makes it look like there is no distance between the people and him, "said Yunarto.
modest character Jokowi is also enriched with his attention to the little things, which is emphasized by Yoes Kenawas, lecturer of Parahyangan Catholic University: "it is unique, it is known to be someone with a meticulous attention to detail I think that if he is elected, he will continue to monitor the development of projects.".
Jokowi is also known for its blusukan routine, a series of unannounced visits to public places and government institutions who also improved his popularity.
Sjafei Iman, a specialist in political campaign suggests that the approach differs Jokowi is the characteristic of his party: "Jokowi humble character is actually not on the same track with characters from PDI-P which tend to be bright and hard. But I think Jokowi offers the population is much more attractive to people than his party did. "
But Jokowi's bid also attracted criticism, mainly because in order to run for president, he must leave the governor seat that was held for 1.5 years. Critics also say there is not much he accomplished during his term as governor DKI.
"I do not think I can say it is tested as head of leading in terms of capacity, "said Yunarto." during his 1.5 years as governor, essentially there were no major changes, except for the change of public confidence in its leader . But we can not judge by Jokowi programs. It built its values differently. He never talks about big ideas. What is encouraging participatory democracy. It gains the confidence of stakeholders, including people, so they are all ready to participate in the work. "
Prabowo Subianto
Prabowo Subianto
By December 2012, when the figure Jokowi entered the national scene, the former lieutenant general turned businessman always came over the polls as the most desired presidential candidate. In 2009, Prabowo ran as a candidate for vice president Megawati Sukarnoputri, but could only manage to finish behind Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono - Boediono. This time, the president of the Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) strong returns and aims for the presidential seat. Interestingly, one of the reasons why Prabowo is popular is because many people see it as the opposite of President SBY.
"Prabowo himself brands as someone who is always ready to secure the country from fundamental principles such as the welfare of the people. His message to social protection is combined with his mark nationalist values. Prabowo is happy with his image as a focused and strong person, creating a contrast with the president title that is perceived by many as "soft," says Iman.
"It is like antithesis of SBY, "said Yunarto. "When people think they had enough of President SBY is perceived as normative and full of doubt, came the figure Prabowo with his vigorous attitude, daredevil. This attracted many people's attention. "Yunarto continues," If we take a look at his party, we must admit that Prabowo is well organized. The legislative candidates of Gerindra are extraordinary. They could attract quality candidates and local leaders. This means that someone who knows a territorial battle and has a massive impact on his electability "
Despite often depicted with nationalist values, Yoes suggests that Prabowo would not be as rigid as it seemed ". If elected, I think it would be pragmatic and some businessmen who are close to her benefit. His rhetoric could be nationalistic, but it must be remembered that his father (the late Prof. Dr. Soemitro Djojohadikusumo) is a member of the so-called Berkeley Mafia. His brother is a businessman. To some extent, Prabowo was a businessman himself. There are opportunities, its business model is similar to Soeharto. "
Compared to other candidates, Prabowo has the clearest vision and some of his ideas are implemented in programs, but this may not be what voters want.
Aburizal Bakrie
Aburizal Bakrie
After being elected as president of the Golkar party in 2009, it is crystal clear that the businessman and former minister in the administration of President SBY aspired to run for the presidency in 2014. While his party is expected to finish strong in the parliamentary elections, it remains a mystery how it will behave in the presidential election.
"Ical is a hardworker and very pragmatic. He invites everyone to come on board as he is to his advantage. Its economy is capitalist and is very close to local businessmen. Not so long ago he had a dispute with Rothschild. I guess that kind of character could scare foreign investors to come. It is a concrete example of the political oligarchy, "said Yoes.
Bakrie business instinct and organizational skills are also taken by Iman as his greatest political asset: "I think Bakrie and Golkar are more structured and a step ahead of others parts in terms of organization. It also provides an economic platform that it planned to last until 2045, while its brand is not as strong as for Prabowo and Megawati. "
is to Yunarto believes that the greatest threat to Ical actually comes from his own party. "The common problem for Golkar candidates all these years is that no candidate could get bigger than the game. Golkar is too large to be viewed as a political machine for one person. This is what happened to Wiranto in 2004 and Jusuf Kalla in 2009. Golkar has many brilliant politicians who have their own mass which, in turn, aim for the seats of government for themselves. This is why they could not be solid at the inside. "
Jusuf Kalla
Jusuf Kalla
The former vice president has lost a presidential election in 2009, but its name comes into the equation as a potential candidate again assume his former position as number two in command. Several presidential candidates are reported to be interest in potentially paired with Kalla Jokowi as the most welcomed by analysts.
"Kalla doesnt have to advertise more. His term as vice-president from 2004-2009 is fondly remembered by the people of Indonesia. It is well planned, reactive and somewhat opportunistic" said Iman.
"Jusuf Kalla is a popular candidate, but not being supported by a portion is less. He has no interest in negotiating and some might think it is a figure much more dominant number two as he had shown during his vice presidency. But many surveys suggest that JK electability raise any presidential candidate, including Jokowi. This is an advantage, "Yunarto said.
Other candidates
Outside the front-runners, some other politicians have also declared their interest in running for the presidency.
"Names like Mahfud MD, Gita Wirjawan, Dahlan Iskan, Pramono Edhie, Anies Baswedan, will only manage to be candidate Vice President at best. They do not have enough political parties support," Yoes said.
"Hatta Rajasa could be an outside bet. His political skills are fantastic. He could manage to be a minister in four different law firms and as an administrator, he knows how to govern. The problem is that it has no incentive, "concluded Yunarto.